EPS growth is an important number as it indicates the future prospects of Alibaba Group Holding Limited. The EPS growth rate, as it is typically called, is usually expressed as a percentage, which is 25.10%. The higher the EPS growth rate, the higher the value that is added to shareholders and a good reflection on the performance of the management at Alibaba Group Holding Limited.



Alibaba Group Holding Limited trades as part of the consumer cyclical sector and retail apparel and specialty industry. The company CEO is Yong Daniel Zhang. Alibaba Group Holding is an online and mobile commerce company. It operates China’s most popular online marketplaces such as Taobao C2C, Tmall B2C, and Juhuasuan. It also engages in advertising, digital media, cloud computing, and other.

Previous Intraday Performance:

The BABA shares had a previous change of 2.93% which opened at 158.00 and closed at 160.86. It moved to an intraday high of 160.86 and a low of 156.72.

SeekingAlpha:  Hema – Key To Alibaba’s New Retail Strategy

Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, BABA shares returned 3.11% and in the past 30 trading days it returned 12.54%. Over three months, it changed -10.95%. In one year it has changed -14.45% and within that year its 52-week high was 211.70 and its 52-week low was 130.06. BABA stock is 23.68% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 177.06 and a 50 day moving average of 151.17. Right now, BABA stock is trading -9.15% below its 200 day moving average and may not be a great opportunity to buy as it may continue to trend down.

SeekingAlpha:  Hema – Key To Alibaba’s New Retail Strategy

Liquidity:

The company has a market cap of $413.7b with 2.6b shares outstanding and a float of 2.6b shares. Trading volume was 34,992,402 shares and has experienced an average volume of 22,087,429 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is good.

Earnings:

The last annual reported EPS for Alibaba Group Holding Limited was 3.9 which ended on 31st of March 2018, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 41.25. Based on 5 analyst estimates, the consensus EPS for the next quarter is 1.42. The trailing twelve month EPS is 3.69, which comes to a trailing twelve month PE of 43.59.

Below was the last reported quarterly earnings per share:
09-30-2018:  1.01
06-30-2018:  0.66
03-31-2018:  0.54
12-31-2017:  1.34

Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 80.10, which means it might overvalued by -100.82%



Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 37.70% of institutional ownership. Short-interest was 106,379,079, which was 4.14% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio was 4.78. This stock has some short interest, but it might be normal and no need to worry if long the position.

I calculated the beta to be 2.38

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Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is 16.01%, return on assets is 8.49%, profit margin is 18.52%, price-to-sales is 8.51 and price-to-book is 6.81.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 5  : Growth Expectations Result
 6  : Financial Safety Result
 2  : Past Performance Result
 0  : Valuation Result
 0  : Dividend Safety Result
 3  : Overall Result

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Jake McWilliams
I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).

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