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The long-term trend of the EPS is an important number as it indicates the present value of Avianca S.A.. The EPS growth rate, as it is typically called, is usually expressed as a percentage, which is 10.00%. The higher the EPS growth rate, the higher the value that is added to shareholders and a good reflection on the performance of the management at Avianca S.A..

Avianca S.A. is part of the industrials sector and airlines industry. The company CEO is Hernan Rincon Lema. Avianca SA is a Panamanian company that represents the integrated operation of several airlines that operate nationally and internationally.

Previous Intraday Performance:

The AVH shares had a previous change of 6.32% which opened at 4.75 and closed at 5.05. It moved to an intraday high of 5.45 and a low of 4.75.

SeekingAlpha:  WSJ: United nears deal on Avianca loan, partnership

Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, AVH shares returned 4.55% and in the past 30 trading days it returned -7.34%. Over three months, it changed -4.70%. In one year it has changed -30.16% and within that year its 52-week high was 9.76 and its 52-week low was 4.69. AVH stock is 7.68% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 6.70 and a 50 day moving average of 5.36. Right now, AVH stock is trading -24.61% below its 200 day moving average and may not be a great opportunity to buy as it may continue to trend down.

SeekingAlpha:  WSJ: United nears deal on Avianca loan, partnership


The company has a market cap of $629.3m with 124.6m shares outstanding and a float of 124.6m shares. Trading volume was 352,888 shares and has experienced an average volume of 59,447 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.


The last annual reported EPS for Avianca S.A. was 0.4 which ended on 31st of December 2017, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 12.63. Based on 2 analyst estimates, the consensus EPS for the next quarter is 0.16. The trailing twelve month EPS is 0.08, which comes to a trailing twelve month PE of 63.12.

Below was the last reported quarterly earnings per share:
09-30-2018:  0.16
06-30-2018:  -0.30
03-31-2018:  0.22
12-31-2017:  0

The dividend per share is currently 0.79, which is a dividend yield of 15.62%. AVH stock may not have sufficient earnings to cover future dividends and still be able to invest in and grow the business, therefore in the future the dividend may be reduced.

Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 21.92, which means it might be undervalued and has a margin of safety of 76.96%

Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 9.40% of institutional ownership. Short-interest was 112,327, which was 0.09% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio was 2.81. This stock has some short interest, but it might be normal and no need to worry if long the position.

I calculated the beta to be 0.65

PR Newswire:  Bancorp 34, Inc. Announces Adoption Of Repurchase Program

Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is -2.16%, return on assets is -0.39%, profit margin is -0.08%, price-to-sales is 0.15 and price-to-book is 0.54.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 4  : Growth Expectations Result
 0  : Financial Safety Result
 0  : Past Performance Result
 3  : Valuation Result
 2  : Dividend Safety Result
 1  : Overall Result

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I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).


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