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The long-term trend of the EPS is a vital number as it helps understand the future potential of Aircastle Limited. It is typically displayed as a percentage and called the EPS growth rate, which at this time is hard to estimate, but revenue growth has been -14.60 % over the last twelve months. The higher the EPS growth rate, the higher the value that is added to shareholders and a good reflection on the performance of the management at Aircastle Limited.



Aircastle Limited is part of the industrials sector and is part of the consulting and outsourcing industry. The company CEO is Michael J. Inglese. Aircastle is a holding company. It mainly invests in aviation assets, including acquiring, leasing, managing and selling high-utility commercial jet aircraft.

Previous Intraday Performance:

The AYR shares had a previous change of 0.43% which opened at 18.49 and closed at 18.65. It moved to an intraday high of 18.72 and a low of 18.29.

SeekingAlpha:  28 Upcoming Dividend Increases

Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, AYR shares returned -0.54% and in the past 30 trading days it returned -7.08%. Over three months, it changed -10.21%. In one year it has changed -16.95% and within that year its 52-week high was 25.30 and its 52-week low was 17.86. AYR stock is 4.42% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 19.86 and a 50 day moving average of 19.73. Right now, AYR stock is trading -6.11% below its 200 day moving average and may not be a great opportunity to buy as it may continue to trend down.

SeekingAlpha:  28 Upcoming Dividend Increases

Liquidity:

The company has a market cap of $1.4b with 76.2m shares outstanding and a float of 73.2m shares. Trading volume was 431,916 shares and has experienced an average volume of 383,591 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.

Earnings:

The last annual reported EPS for Aircastle Limited was 1.87 which ended on 31st of December 2017, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 9.97. Based on 2 analyst estimates, the consensus EPS for the next quarter is 0.43. The trailing twelve month EPS is 2.53, which comes to a trailing twelve month PE of 7.37. Historically, the PE high was 43.30 and the PE low was 7.37. AYR stock has set a new PE low record!

Below was the last reported quarterly earnings per share:
09-30-2018:  0.46
06-30-2018:  0.64
03-31-2018:  0.73
12-31-2017:  0.70

The dividend per share is currently 1.20, which is a dividend yield of 6.43%. Also, the payout ratio is 47.43%, therefore the dividend is safe according to our calculations. AYR stock has a high dividend yield, but because the company has enough earnings to cover future dividends, it might be a good investment opportunity for an income portfolio.



Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 3.80% of insider ownership and 55.10% of institutional ownership. Short-interest was 1,196,821, which was 1.57% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio was 3.19. This stock has some short interest, but it might be normal and no need to worry if long the position.

I calculated the beta to be 1.77

SeekingAlpha:  Apellis Pharma down 17% on hiccup in late-stage study of APL-2

Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is 10.34%, return on assets is 2.71%, profit margin is 25.55%, price-to-sales is 1.82 and price-to-book is 0.73.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 1  : Growth Expectations Result
 1  : Financial Safety Result
 1  : Past Performance Result
 3  : Valuation Result
 6  : Dividend Safety Result
 2  : Overall Result

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Jake McWilliams
I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).

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