The long-term trend of the EPS is an important number as it indicates the present value of Access National Corporation. The EPS growth rate, as it is usually called, is typically displayed as a percentage, which at this time is hard to estimate, but revenue growth has been -8.90 % over the last twelve months. EPS growth is a vital measure of execution of the strategy for Access National Corporation since it indicates how well the business is allocating resources to benefit shareholders.



Access National Corporation is part of the banking industry and financial services sector. The company CEO is Michael W. Clarke. Access National Corp provides commercial credit, deposit, mortgage and wealth management services to middle market businesses and associated professionals mainly in Greater Washington.

Previous Intraday Performance:

The ANCX shares had a previous change of 2.16% which opened at 25.89 and closed at 26.44. It moved to an intraday high of 26.47 and a low of 25.88.

Business Wire:  Access National Bank Welcomes Government Contractor Banker, Daniel L. Hampton, SVP, to Its Expanding Commercial Lending Segment

Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, ANCX shares returned 1.73% and in the past 30 trading days it returned 3.94%. Over three months, it changed -3.13%. In one year it has changed -4.80% and within that year its 52-week high was 30.40 and its 52-week low was 23.95. ANCX stock is 10.40% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 27.65 and a 50 day moving average of 26.39. Right now, ANCX stock is trading -4.37% below its 200 day moving average and may be a great opportunity to buy, but should check other technical indicators to confirm a buy signal.

Business Wire:  Access National Bank Welcomes Government Contractor Banker, Daniel L. Hampton, SVP, to Its Expanding Commercial Lending Segment

Liquidity:

The company has a market cap of $549.9m with 20.8m shares outstanding and a float of 14.3m shares. Trading volume was 55,375 shares and has experienced an average volume of 86,873 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.

Earnings:

The last annual reported EPS for Access National Corporation was 0.92 which ended on 31st of December 2017, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 28.74. Based on 1 analyst estimate, the estimated EPS for the next quarter is 0.41. The trailing twelve month EPS is 1.70, which comes to a trailing twelve month PE of 15.55. Historically, the PE high was 28.74 and the PE low was 6.40. If the stock reached its PE low, that would represent a price of 10.88, which is a decrease of -58.84%.

Below was the last reported quarterly earnings per share:
09-30-2018:  0.46
06-30-2018:  0.43
03-31-2018:  0.39
12-31-2017:  0.42

The dividend per share is currently 0.68, which is a dividend yield of 2.57%. Also, the payout ratio is 40.00%, therefore the dividend is safe according to our calculations.



Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 15.44, which means it might overvalued by -71.28%

Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 31.20% of insider ownership and 42.20% of institutional ownership. Short-interest was 0, which was 0.00% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio was 0.00.

I calculated the beta to be 0.61

SeekingAlpha:  Microcaps dominate midday movers

Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is 6.89%, return on assets is 1.01%, profit margin is 20.84%, price-to-sales is 3.78 and price-to-book is 1.32.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 1  : Growth Expectations Result
 6  : Financial Safety Result
 4  : Past Performance Result
 1  : Valuation Result
 5  : Dividend Safety Result
 3  : Overall Result

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Jake McWilliams
I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).

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