The long-term trend of the EPS is a vital number as it helps understand the future potential of Alliance Resource Partners L.P.. The EPS growth rate, as it is usually called, is typically displayed as a percentage, which at this time is hard to estimate, but revenue growth has been -34.00 % over the last twelve months. The higher the EPS growth rate, the higher the value that is added to shareholders and a good reflection on the performance of the management at Alliance Resource Partners L.P..



Alliance Resource Partners L.P. is part of the coal industry and trades as part of the basic materials sector. The company CEO is Joseph W. Craft. Alliance Resource Partners LP is a producer and marketer of coal in the United States. Most of its operations are prevalent in the Illinois Basin, which entails underground mining complexes in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland and West Virginia.

Previous Intraday Performance:

The ARLP shares had a previous change of -0.30% which opened at 19.70 and closed at 19.65. It moved to an intraday high of 19.82 and a low of 19.42.

SeekingAlpha:  50 Top Yield Basic Materials Dividend WallStars For November By Dividend Dogcatcher

Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, ARLP shares returned 1.55% and in the past 30 trading days it returned 1.93%. Over three months, it changed -2.26%. In one year it has changed 21.00% and within that year its 52-week high was 21.90 and its 52-week low was 15.55. ARLP stock is 26.37% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 18.00 and a 50 day moving average of 19.50. Right now, ARLP stock is trading 9.16% above its 200 day moving average.

SeekingAlpha:  50 Top Yield Basic Materials Dividend WallStars For November By Dividend Dogcatcher

Liquidity:

The company has a market cap of $2.6b with 130.2m shares outstanding and a float of 108.5m shares. Trading volume was 376,469 shares and has experienced an average volume of 556,103 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.

Earnings:

The last annual reported EPS for Alliance Resource Partners L.P. was 2.92 which ended on 31st of December 2017, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 6.73. Based on 3 analyst estimates, the consensus EPS for the next quarter is 0.74. The trailing twelve month EPS is 2.29, which comes to a trailing twelve month PE of 8.58. Historically, the PE high was 6.73 and the PE low was 2.50. If the stock reached its PE low, that would represent a price of 5.73, which is a decrease of -70.86%.

Below was the last reported quarterly earnings per share:
09-30-2018:  0.55
06-30-2018:  0.64
03-31-2018:  0.55
12-31-2017:  0.55

The dividend per share is currently 2.10, which is a dividend yield of 10.69%. ARLP stock may not have sufficient earnings to cover future dividends and still be able to invest in and grow the business, therefore in the future the dividend may be reduced.



Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 34.50, which means it might be undervalued and has a margin of safety of 43.04%

Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 11.70% of institutional ownership. Short-interest was 0, which was 0.00% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio was 0.00.

I calculated the beta to be 0.83

SeekingAlpha:  Tracking Wallace Weitz’s Weitz Investment Management Portfolio – Q3 2018 Update

Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on assets is 17.63%, profit margin is 20.46%, price-to-sales is 1.37 and price-to-book is 2.05.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 0  : Growth Expectations Result
 5  : Financial Safety Result
 4  : Past Performance Result
 4  : Valuation Result
 4  : Dividend Safety Result
 3  : Overall Result

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Jake McWilliams
I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).

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