GSSSB Senior Clerk Answer Key

Turning Point Brands is in the consumer defensive sector and tobacco products industry. The company CEO is Lawrence S. Wexler. Turning Point Brands Inc is engaged in providing tobacco products in the U.S. It sells products including moist snuff, loose leaf chewing tobacco, cigarette papers, make- your-own cigar wraps and cigar smoking tobacco, cigars and tobacco vaporizer products.



Previous Intraday Performance:

The TPB shares had a previous change of -1.89% which opened at 53.77 and closed at 52.52. It moved to an intraday high of 53.79 and a low of 52.29.

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Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, TPB shares returned -0.76% and in the past 30 trading days it returned 1.27%. Over three months, it changed 11.66%. In one year it has changed 81.91% and within that year its 52 week high was 55.53 and its 52 week low was 26.39. TPB stock is 99.01% above its 52 week low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 39.90 and a 50 day moving average of 48.13. Right now, TPB stock is trading 31.63% above its 200 day moving average.

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Liquidity:

The company has a market cap of $1.0b with 19.6m shares outstanding and a float of 19.1m shares. Trading volume was 142,074 shares and has experienced an average volume of 156,274 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.

Earnings:

The last annual reported EPS for Turning Point Brands was 1.27 which ended on 31st of December 2018, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 41.35. Based on 2 analyst estimates, the consensus EPS for the next quarter is 0.36. The trailing twelve month EPS reported is 1.81 (trailing twelve month diluted EPS is 1.45).

Below was the last reported quarterly diluted earnings per share:

1stQtr 2019Reported 05-01-2019: 0.33
4thQtr 2018Reported 03-05-2019: 0.25
3rdQtr 2018Reported 11-07-2018: 0.40
2ndQtr 2018Reported 08-08-2018: 0.47
1stQtr 2018Reported 05-09-2018: 0.15

Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 1.99, which means it might be overvalued by -2,536.82%.

The growth of the EPS is critical in understanding the current valuation of Turning Point Brands; it is typically displayed as a percentage and called the EPS growth rate, which at this time is hard to estimate, but revenue growth has been 17.70% over the last twelve months.



Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 45.70% of institutional ownership. Short-interest was 420,306, which was 2.15% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio was 2.34. This stock has some short interest, but it might be normal and no need to worry if long the position.

The beta was calculated to be 0.78.

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Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on assets is 9.59%, profit margin is 8.27%, price-to-sales is 2.99 and price-to-book is 11.80.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 4  : Growth Expectations Result
 3  : Financial Safety Result
 4  : Past Performance Result
 0  : Valuation Result
 0  : Dividend Safety Result
 2  : Overall Result

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Jake McWilliams
I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).

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