TAL Education Group is part of the education industry and is in the consumer defensive sector. The company CEO is Bangxin Zhang. TAL Education Group is engaged in providing after-school tutoring programs for primary and secondary school students in China. It delivers its tutoring services through small classes, personalized premium services, and online course offerings.

Previous Intraday Performance:

The TAL shares had a previous change of 0.76% which opened at 34.03 and closed at 33.75. It moved to an intraday high of 34.66 and a low of 33.74.

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Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, TAL shares returned -4.26% and in the past 30 trading days it returned -8.44%. Over three months, it changed -5.01%. In one year it has changed -21.95% and within that year its 52 week high was 47.63 and its 52 week low was 21.08. TAL stock is 60.10% above its 52 week low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 30.71 and a 50 day moving average of 35.92. Right now, TAL stock is trading 9.91% above its 200 day moving average.

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The company has a market cap of $20.1b with 591.2m shares outstanding and a float of 591.2m shares. Trading volume was 1,327,012 shares and has experienced an average volume of 3,664,269 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is good.


The last annual reported EPS for TAL Education Group was 0.61 which ended on 28th of February 2019, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 55.75. Based on 1 analyst estimate, the estimated EPS for the next quarter is 0.08. The trailing twelve month EPS reported is 0.40 (trailing twelve month diluted EPS is 0.62), which comes to a trailing twelve month PE of 85.01. Historically, the PE high was 163.70 and the PE low was 24.80. If the stock reached its PE low, that would represent a price of 9.85, which is a decrease of -70.83%.

Feb19 0.17Nov18 0.21Aug18 0.13May18 0.11Feb18 0.12

Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 49.09, which means it might be undervalued and has a margin of safety of 31.25%.

The long-term trend of the EPS is an important number as it indicates the present value of TAL Education Group; the EPS growth rate, as it is usually called, is typically displayed as a percentage, which at this time is hard to estimate, but revenue growth has been 45.00% over the last twelve months.

Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 78.10% of institutional ownership. Short-interest was 24,685,948, which was 4.18% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio was 7.67. This stock has some short interest, but it might be normal and no need to worry if long the position.

The beta was calculated to be 0.26.

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Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is 18.38%, return on assets is 11.15%, profit margin is 14.21%, price-to-sales is 7.87 and price-to-book is 8.12.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 6  : Growth Expectations Result
 5  : Financial Safety Result
 5  : Past Performance Result
 1  : Valuation Result
 0  : Dividend Safety Result
 4  : Overall Result

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Jake McWilliams
I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).


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