Vector Group is in the tobacco products industry and is part of the consumer defensive sector. The company CEO is Howard M. Lorber. Vector Group, through its subsidiaries, is engaged in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes in the United States and the real estate business. Its business segment includes: Tobacco, E-Cigarettes and Real Estate.



Previous Intraday Performance:

The VGR shares had a previous change of -0.44% which opened at 9.25 and closed at 9.20. It moved to an intraday high of 9.28 and a low of 9.09.

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Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, VGR shares returned -3.66% and in the past 30 trading days it returned -12.13%. Over three months, it changed -20.04%. In one year it has changed -43.37% and within that year its 52 week high was 19.12 and its 52 week low was 9.09. VGR stock is 1.21% above its 52 week low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 11.48 and a 50 day moving average of 10.20. Right now, VGR stock is trading -19.88% below its 200 day moving average and may not be a great opportunity to buy as it may continue to trend down.

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Liquidity:

The company has a market cap of $1.3b with 141.0m shares outstanding and a float of 138.5m shares. Trading volume was 454,576 shares and has experienced an average volume of 1,118,622 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.

Earnings:

The last annual reported EPS for Vector Group was 0.36 which ended on 31st of December 2018, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 25.44. Based on 1 analyst estimate, the estimated EPS for the next quarter is 0.15. The trailing twelve month EPS reported is 0.58 (trailing twelve month diluted EPS is 0.4), which comes to a trailing twelve month PE of 15.79. Historically, the PE high was 75.70 and the PE low was 15.79. VGR stock has set a new PE low record!

1stQtr 2019 0.084thQtr 2018 0.143rdQtr 2018 0.072ndQtr 2018 0.111stQtr 2018 0.04

The dividend per share is currently 1.60, which is a dividend yield of 17.39%. With a payout ratio of 275.86%, VGR stock may not have sufficient earnings to cover future dividends and still be able to invest in and grow the business, therefore in the future the dividend may be reduced.

Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 25.23, which means it might be undervalued and has a margin of safety of 63.53%.

EPS growth is an important number as it indicates the future prospects of Vector Group; the EPS growth rate, as it is typically called, is usually expressed as a percentage, which at this time is hard to estimate, but revenue growth has been 1.80% over the last twelve months.



Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 75.40% of institutional ownership. Short-interest was 15,684,904, which was 11.13% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio was 17.65. This stock has a moderate level of short interest, but may still be a buying opportunity depending on other indicators.

The beta was calculated to be 0.67.

SeekingAlpha:  The Cap Rate Series: Net Lease Investing

Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on assets is 4.39%, profit margin is 3.75%, price-to-sales is 0.71 and.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 1  : Growth Expectations Result
 1  : Financial Safety Result
 2  : Past Performance Result
 2  : Valuation Result
 4  : Dividend Safety Result
 2  : Overall Result

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Jake McWilliams
I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).

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