Natural Health Trends Corp. is part of the consumer packaged goods industry and is part of the consumer defensive sector. Natural Health Trends Corp is engaged in the direct selling industry, selling lifestyle enhancement products, cosmetics, personal care and dietary supplements, and also what is called network marketing or multi-level marketing.



Previous Intraday Performance:

The NHTC shares had a previous change of 0.37% which opened at 10.72 and closed at 10.77. It moved to an intraday high of 11.17 and a low of 10.70.

SeekingAlpha:  Natural Health Trends’ (NHTC) Management on Q1 2019 Results – Earnings Call Transcript

Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, NHTC shares returned -0.37% and in the past 30 trading days it returned -13.29%. Over three months, it changed -31.64%. In one year it has changed -45.92% and within that year its 52 week high was 27.23 and its 52 week low was 10.50. NHTC stock is 2.57% above its 52 week low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 18.28 and a 50 day moving average of 11.88. Right now, NHTC stock is trading -41.09% below its 200 day moving average and may not be a great opportunity to buy as it may continue to trend down.

SeekingAlpha:  Natural Health Trends’ (NHTC) Management on Q1 2019 Results – Earnings Call Transcript

Liquidity:

The company has a market cap of $122.8m with 11.4m shares outstanding and a float of 9.8m shares. Trading volume was 213,163 shares and has experienced an average volume of 132,166 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.

Earnings:

The last annual reported EPS for Natural Health Trends Corp. was 2.74 which ended on 31st of December 2018, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 3.93.

Below was the last reported quarterly diluted earnings per share:

1stQtr 2019Reported 05-07-2019: -0.17
4thQtr 2018Reported 02-21-2019: 0.49
3rdQtr 2018Reported 10-30-2018: 0.67
2ndQtr 2018Reported 08-01-2018: 0.80
1stQtr 2018Reported 05-02-2018: 0.78

The dividend per share is currently 0.64, which is a dividend yield of 5.94%. With a payout ratio of inf%, NHTC stock may not have sufficient earnings to cover future dividends and still be able to invest in and grow the business, therefore in the future the dividend may be reduced.

Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 1.46, which means it might be overvalued by -637.33%.



The long-term trend of the EPS is a vital number as it helps understand the future potential of Natural Health Trends Corp.; it is typically displayed as a percentage and called the EPS growth rate, which at this time is hard to estimate, but revenue growth has been -16.80% over the last twelve months.

Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 50.90% of institutional ownership.

The beta was calculated to be 1.31.

PR Newswire:  Nelnet Reports First Quarter 2019 Results

Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is 23.06%, return on assets is 13.44%, profit margin is 13.13%, price-to-sales is 0.79 and price-to-book is 1.42.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 2  : Growth Expectations Result
 4  : Financial Safety Result
 3  : Past Performance Result
 3  : Valuation Result
 3  : Dividend Safety Result
 3  : Overall Result

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Jake McWilliams
I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).

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