National Health Investors trades as part of the real estate sector and is in the REITs industry. The company CEO is Eric Mendelsohn. National Health Investors Inc is a healthcare facility REIT. It invests in various healthcare facilities, including independent living facilities, senior-living campuses, and medical office buildings.



Previous Intraday Performance:

The NHI shares had a previous change of -0.39% which opened at 78.27 and closed at 79.09. It moved to an intraday high of 79.27 and a low of 78.06.

Business Wire:  NHI to Present at REITWeek 2019 Investor Conference

Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, NHI shares returned 4.41% and in the past 30 trading days it returned 1.07%. Over three months, it changed -0.29%. In one year it has changed 19.87% and within that year its 52-week high was 84.57 and its 52-week low was 68.69. NHI stock is 15.14% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 75.58 and a 50 day moving average of 76.91. Right now, NHI stock is trading 4.64% above its 200 day moving average and may be a good opportunity to buy.

Business Wire:  NHI to Present at REITWeek 2019 Investor Conference

Liquidity:

The company has a market cap of $3.4b with 43.2m shares outstanding and a float of 42.4m shares. Trading volume was 2,857 shares and has experienced an average volume of 191,832 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.

Earnings:

The last annual reported EPS for National Health Investors was 3.67 which ended on 31st of December 2018, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 21.47. Based on 5 analyst estimates, the consensus EPS for the next quarter is 1.31. The trailing twelve month EPS is 5.47, which comes to a trailing twelve month PE of 14.40. Historically, the PE high was 25.40 and the PE low was 13.80. If the stock reached its PE low, that would represent a price of 75.79, which is a decrease of -4.17%.

The dividend per share is currently 4.20, which is a dividend yield of 5.31%.

Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 115.98, which means it might be undervalued and has a margin of safety of 31.81%

The next earnings report will be: 05-23-2019



EPS growth is an important number as it indicates the future prospects of National Health Investors; it is typically displayed as a percentage and called the EPS growth rate, which at this time is hard to estimate, but revenue growth has been 2.20% over the last twelve months.

Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 99.60% of institutional ownership. Short-interest was 1,193,375, which was 2.76% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio was 5.60. This stock has some short interest, but it might be normal and no need to worry if long the position.

I calculated the beta to be 0.44

SeekingAlpha:  Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) Q2 2019 Results – Earnings Call Transcript

Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is 11.58%, return on assets is 5.90%, profit margin is 51.88%, price-to-sales is 11.34 and price-to-book is 2.39.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 1  : Growth Expectations Result
 2  : Financial Safety Result
 2  : Past Performance Result
 2  : Valuation Result
 4  : Dividend Safety Result
 2  : Overall Result

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Jake McWilliams
I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).

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