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Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage is in the consumer defensive sector and retail defensive industry. The company CEO is Zephyr Isely / Kemper Isely. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc is a specialty retailer of natural, organic groceries and dietary supplements.



PR Newswire:  Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Announces Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2019 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast

Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, NGVC shares returned -3.31% and in the past 30 trading days it returned -4.59%. Over three months, it changed -22.24%. In one year it has changed 59.56% and within that year its 52-week high was 24.50 and its 52-week low was 6.79. NGVC stock is 80.71% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 15.85 and a 50 day moving average of 13.12. Right now, NGVC stock is trading -22.57% below its 200 day moving average and may not be a great opportunity to buy as it may continue to trend down.

PR Newswire:  Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Announces Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2019 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast

Liquidity:

The company has a market cap of $274.9m with 22.4m shares outstanding and a float of 13.7m shares. Trading volume was 59,136 shares and has experienced an average volume of 102,942 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.

Earnings:

The last annual reported EPS for Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage was 0.56 which ended on 30th of September 2018, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 21.91. The trailing twelve month EPS is 0.43, which comes to a trailing twelve month PE of 28.53. Historically, the PE high was 94.90 and the PE low was 10.40. If the stock reached its PE low, that would represent a price of 4.47, which is a decrease of -63.55%.

The next earnings report will be: 05-07-2019

EPS growth is an important number as it indicates the future prospects of Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage; the EPS growth rate, as it is usually called, is typically displayed as a percentage, which at this time is hard to estimate, but revenue growth has been 10.00% over the last twelve months.

Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 56.90% of institutional ownership. Short-interest was 1,285,265, which was 5.74% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio was 11.67. This stock has a moderate level of short interest, but may still be a buying opportunity depending on other indicators.

I calculated the beta to be 0.95



SeekingAlpha:  Playa Hotels & Resorts 2018 Q4 – Results – Earnings Call Slides

Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is 6.87%, return on assets is 3.24%, profit margin is 1.00%, price-to-sales is 0.42 and price-to-book is 1.84.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 0  : Growth Expectations Result
 5  : Financial Safety Result
 0  : Past Performance Result
 1  : Valuation Result
 0  : Dividend Safety Result
 1  : Overall Result

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Jake McWilliams
I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).

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