CAE is in the aerospace and defense industry and is in the industrials sector. The company CEO is Marc Parent. CAE Inc and its subsidiaries design, manufacture and supply simulation equipment. It provides training and develop integrated training solutions for defence and security markets, commercial airlines, business aircraft operators and helicopter operators.



Previous Intraday Performance:

The CAE shares had a previous change of 0.04% which opened at 22.95 and closed at 22.75. It moved to an intraday high of 22.95 and a low of 22.71.

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Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, CAE shares returned 1.07% and in the past 30 trading days it returned 8.66%. Over three months, it changed 15.60%. In one year it has changed 18.47% and within that year its 52-week high was 22.95 and its 52-week low was 16.96. CAE stock is 34.14% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 20.13 and a 50 day moving average of 21.58. Right now, CAE stock is trading 13.02% above its 200 day moving average.

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Liquidity:

The company has a market cap of $6.0b with 265.4m shares outstanding and a float of 265.4m shares. Trading volume was 102,889 shares and has experienced an average volume of 150,070 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.

Earnings:

The last annual reported EPS for CAE was 1 which ended on 31st of March 2018, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 22.75. Based on 3 analyst estimates, the consensus EPS for the next quarter is 0.21. The trailing twelve month EPS is 0.88, which comes to a trailing twelve month PE of 25.85. Historically, the PE high was 29.90 and the PE low was 17.10. If the stock reached its PE low, that would represent a price of 15.05, which is a decrease of -33.85%.

The dividend per share is currently 0.30, which is a dividend yield of 1.32%. Also, the payout ratio is 34.11%, therefore the dividend is safe according to our calculations.

Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 20.59, which means it might overvalued by -10.47%

The next earnings report will be: 05-10-2019



The growth of the EPS is critical in understanding the current valuation of CAE; it is usually expressed as a percentage and is then referred to as the EPS growth rate, which at this time is hard to estimate, but revenue growth has been 10.50% over the last twelve months.

Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 78.50% of institutional ownership. Short-interest was 289,893, which was 0.11% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio was 1.79. This stock has some short interest, but it might be normal and no need to worry if long the position.

I calculated the beta to be 0.94

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Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is 13.20%, return on assets is 4.94%, profit margin is 9.41%, price-to-sales is 2.65 and price-to-book is 3.51.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 3  : Growth Expectations Result
 5  : Financial Safety Result
 2  : Past Performance Result
 0  : Valuation Result
 4  : Dividend Safety Result
 2  : Overall Result

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Jake McWilliams
I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).

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