Triumph Bancorp is part of the financial services sector and trades as part of the banking industry. The company CEO is Aaron P. Graft. Triumph Bancorp Inc is a financial holding company offering traditional banking and asset management services. The company through its Banking, Factoring, Asset Management segments provides financial lending services and investment management services.



Previous Intraday Performance:

The TBK shares had a previous change of 0.13% which opened at 31.06 and closed at 31.07. It moved to an intraday high of 31.11 and a low of 30.79.

SeekingAlpha:  Triumph Bancorp (TBK) CEO Aaron Graft on Q4 2018 Results – Earnings Call Transcript

Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, TBK shares returned 1.07% and in the past 30 trading days it returned 2.00%. Over three months, it changed -10.74%. In one year it has changed -28.16% and within that year its 52-week high was 44.70 and its 52-week low was 27.47. TBK stock is 13.11% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 37.15 and a 50 day moving average of 31.53. Right now, TBK stock is trading -16.36% below its 200 day moving average and may not be a great opportunity to buy as it may continue to trend down.

SeekingAlpha:  Triumph Bancorp 2018 Q4 – Results – Earnings Call Slides

Liquidity:

The company has a market cap of $829.6m with 26.7m shares outstanding and a float of 24.9m shares. Trading volume was 45,890 shares and has experienced an average volume of 107,803 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.

Earnings:

The last annual reported EPS for Triumph Bancorp was 2.2 which ended on 31st of December 2018, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 15.16. Based on 4 analyst estimates, the consensus EPS for the next quarter is 0.70. The trailing twelve month EPS is 2.20, which comes to a trailing twelve month PE of 14.12. Historically, the PE high was 31.90 and the PE low was 6.50. If the stock reached its PE low, that would represent a price of 14.30, which is a decrease of -53.97%.

Below was the last reported quarterly earnings per share:
12-31-2018:  0.67
09-30-2018:  0.51
06-30-2018:  0.50
03-31-2018:  0.52

Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 43.85, which means it might be undervalued and has a margin of safety of 29.14%

The next earnings report will be: 03-21-2019



The growth of the EPS is critical in understanding the current valuation of Triumph Bancorp; it is usually expressed as a percentage and is then referred to as the EPS growth rate, which is 8.00%.

Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 8.50% of insider ownership and 115.20% of institutional ownership.

I calculated the beta to be 1.14

SeekingAlpha:  Triumph Bancorp 2018 Q4 – Results – Earnings Call Slides

Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is 10.04%, return on assets is 1.27%, profit margin is 18.15%, price-to-sales is 2.91 and price-to-book is 1.30.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 4  : Growth Expectations Result
 5  : Financial Safety Result
 4  : Past Performance Result
 3  : Valuation Result
 0  : Dividend Safety Result
 4  : Overall Result

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Jake McWilliams
I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).

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