Royal Dutch Shell Two is in the energy sector and oil and gas integrated industry. The company CEO is Bernardus van Beurden. Royal Dutch Shell is an integrated oil and gas company. The company engages in exploration, production, and refining of oil around the world. It supplies fuel and other chemicals to various industries such as aviation, and marine.



Previous Intraday Performance:

The RDS.A shares had a previous change of 2.69% which opened at 62.30 and closed at 62.99. It moved to an intraday high of 63.05 and a low of 62.21.

PR Newswire:  Shell Publishes Annual Report and Form 20-F

Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, RDS.A shares returned 2.31% and in the past 30 trading days it returned 7.36%. Over three months, it changed 9.32%. In one year it has changed 5.64% and within that year its 52-week high was 73.86 and its 52-week low was 55.04. RDS.A stock is 14.44% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 62.62 and a 50 day moving average of 60.83. Right now, RDS.A stock is trading 0.59% above its 200 day moving average and may be a good opportunity to buy.

SeekingAlpha:  Will Royal Dutch Shell Raise Its Dividend?

Liquidity:

The company has a market cap of $192.8b with 3.1b shares outstanding and a float of 3.1b shares. Trading volume was 3,832,055 shares and has experienced an average volume of 2,849,307 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is good.

Earnings:

The last annual reported EPS for Royal Dutch Shell Two was 5.58 which ended on 31st of December 2018, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 11.29. Based on 4 analyst estimates, the consensus EPS for the next quarter is 1.30. The trailing twelve month EPS is 5.13, which comes to a trailing twelve month PE of 12.28. Historically, the PE high was 97.10 and the PE low was 9.20. If the stock reached its PE low, that would represent a price of 47.19, which is a decrease of -25.08%.

Below was the last reported quarterly earnings per share:
12-31-2018:  1.37
09-30-2018:  1.36
06-30-2018:  1.12
03-31-2018:  1.28

The dividend per share is currently 3.76, which is a dividend yield of 5.97%. RDS.A stock may not have sufficient earnings to cover future dividends and still be able to invest in and grow the business, therefore in the future the dividend may be reduced.

Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 129.42, which means it might be undervalued and has a margin of safety of 51.33%



The next earnings report will be: 03-26-2019

The growth of the EPS is critical in understanding the current valuation of Royal Dutch Shell Two; it is typically displayed as a percentage and called the EPS growth rate, which is 14.81%.

Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 8.60% of institutional ownership. Short-interest was 2,409,417, which was 0.08% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio was 0.84. This stock has some short interest, but it might be normal and no need to worry if long the position.

I calculated the beta to be 0.87

SeekingAlpha:  Will Royal Dutch Shell Raise Its Dividend?

Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is 12.23%, return on assets is 5.97%, profit margin is 6.14%, price-to-sales is 0.01 and price-to-book is 1.26.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 1  : Growth Expectations Result
 4  : Financial Safety Result
 4  : Past Performance Result
 4  : Valuation Result
 6  : Dividend Safety Result
 3  : Overall Result

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Jake McWilliams
I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).

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