EPS growth is an important number as it indicates the future prospects of Alico. The EPS growth rate, as it is typically called, is usually expressed as a percentage, which at this time is hard to estimate, but revenue growth has been -37.40% over the last twelve months. The higher the EPS growth rate, the higher the value that is added to shareholders and a good reflection on the performance of the management at Alico.



Alico is in the consumer defensive sector and is part of the consumer packaged goods industry. The company CEO is Remy W. Trafelet. Alico Inc is an agribusiness and land management company. It is engaged in production of citrus groves, improved farmland, cattle ranching and conservation, and related support operations.

Previous Intraday Performance:

The ALCO shares had a previous change of -0.67% which opened at 30.00 and closed at 29.60. It moved to an intraday high of 29.74 and a low of 29.43.

SeekingAlpha:  Alico (ALCO) To Present At ICR Investor Conference – Slideshow

Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, ALCO shares returned -1.20% and in the past 30 trading days it returned -1.27%. Over three months, it changed -11.31%. In one year it has changed 10.49% and within that year its 52-week high was 34.65 and its 52-week low was 25.75. ALCO stock is 14.95% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 31.84 and a 50 day moving average of 30.87. Right now, ALCO stock is trading -7.03% below its 200 day moving average and may not be a great opportunity to buy as it may continue to trend down.

SeekingAlpha:  Alico (ALCO) To Present At ICR Investor Conference – Slideshow

Liquidity:

The company has a market cap of $220.7m with 7.5m shares outstanding and a float of 6.6m shares. Trading volume was 2,491 shares and has experienced an average volume of 7,262 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.

Earnings:

The last annual reported EPS for Alico was 1.56 which ended on 30th of September 2018, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 18.97.

Below was the last reported quarterly earnings per share:
09-30-2018:  -0.44
06-30-2018:  0.29
03-31-2018:  0.22
12-31-2017:  0.00

The dividend per share is currently 0.24, which is a dividend yield of 0.81%.



Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 43.39, which means it might be undervalued and has a margin of safety of 31.78%

Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 11.00% of insider ownership and 91.10% of institutional ownership.

I calculated the beta to be 0.64

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Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is 7.84%, return on assets is 3.10%, profit margin is 6.36%, price-to-sales is 3.48 and price-to-book is 1.28.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 2  : Growth Expectations Result
 1  : Financial Safety Result
 0  : Past Performance Result
 2  : Valuation Result
 0  : Dividend Safety Result
 1  : Overall Result

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Jake McWilliams
I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).

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