XAT 2018 Registration

EPS growth is an important number as it indicates the future prospects of Ardagh Group S.A.. The EPS growth rate, as it is typically called, is usually expressed as a percentage, which at this time is hard to estimate, but revenue growth has been 8.90% over the last twelve months. Growth in EPS is an important measure of administration performance because it shows how much money Ardagh Group S.A. is making for it’s investors or shareholders.

Ardagh Group S.A. trades as part of the packaging and containers industry and consumer cyclical sector. The company CEO is Paul Coulson. Ardagh Group SA supplies rigid packaging solutions including metal and glass containers for food and beverage markets. Its end users include beer, wine, spirits, soft drink, energy drinks, juices, flavored waters, food, seafood and nutrition industries.

Previous Intraday Performance:

The ARD shares had a previous change of 2.70% which opened at 11.95 and closed at 12.17. It moved to an intraday high of 12.17 and a low of 11.77.

PR Newswire:  Ardagh Group S.A. Declares Quarterly Dividend

Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, ARD shares returned -1.06% and in the past 30 trading days it returned 15.90%. Over three months, it changed -3.79%. In one year it has changed -28.16% and within that year its 52-week high was 20.53 and its 52-week low was 10.09. ARD stock is 20.61% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 14.96 and a 50 day moving average of 11.62. Right now, ARD stock is trading -18.67% below its 200 day moving average and may not be a great opportunity to buy as it may continue to trend down.

PR Newswire:  Ardagh Group S.A. Declares Quarterly Dividend


The company has a market cap of $2.9b with 236.3m shares outstanding and a float of 236.3m shares. Trading volume was 112,394 shares and has experienced an average volume of 159,971 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.


The last annual reported EPS for Ardagh Group S.A. was 0.25 which ended on 31st of December 2017, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 48.68. Based on 2 analyst estimates, the consensus EPS for the next quarter is 0.28. The trailing twelve month EPS is 1.73, which comes to a trailing twelve month PE of 7.03.

Below was the last reported quarterly earnings per share:
09-30-2018:  0.52
06-30-2018:  0.51
03-31-2018:  0.33
12-31-2017:  0.37

The dividend per share is currently 0.56, which is a dividend yield of 4.60%. Also, the payout ratio is 32.37%, therefore the dividend is safe according to our calculations. ARD stock has a high dividend yield, but because the company has enough earnings to cover future dividends, it might be a good investment opportunity for an income portfolio.

Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 18.24, which means it might be undervalued and has a margin of safety of 33.27%

Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 9.70% of institutional ownership. Short-interest was 300,711, which was 0.13% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio was 1.57. This stock has some short interest, but it might be normal and no need to worry if long the position.

I calculated the beta to be 1.17

SeekingAlpha:  Daily Insider Ratings Round Up 11/20/18

Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on assets is 0.78%, profit margin is 0.72%, price-to-sales is 0.40 and.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 4  : Growth Expectations Result
 1  : Financial Safety Result
 4  : Past Performance Result
 1  : Valuation Result
 3  : Dividend Safety Result
 2  : Overall Result

Related Tags: , , ,

Jake McWilliams
I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).


Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here