KTET Answer Key

The long-term trend of the EPS is a vital number as it helps understand the future potential of Navistar International Corporation. It is typically displayed as a percentage and called the EPS growth rate, which at this time is hard to estimate, but revenue growth has been 5.60 % over the last twelve months. Growth in EPS is an important measure of administration performance because it shows how much money Navistar International Corporation is making for it’s investors or shareholders.



Navistar International Corporation is in the truck manufacturing industry and industrials sector. Navistar International Corp is a holding company whose individual units provide integrated and best in class transportation solutions. It also provides retail, wholesale and lease financing services for trucks and parts.

Previous Intraday Performance:

The NAV shares had a previous change of -6.65% which opened at 32.12 and closed at 30.03. It moved to an intraday high of 32.26 and a low of 29.89.

SeekingAlpha:  Class 8 truck orders fall in November

Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, NAV shares returned -4.76% and in the past 30 trading days it returned -12.04%. Over three months, it changed -26.03%. In one year it has changed -26.51% and within that year its 52-week high was 47.73 and its 52-week low was 28.25. NAV stock is 6.30% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 37.85 and a 50 day moving average of 33.85. Right now, NAV stock is trading -20.65% below its 200 day moving average and may not be a great opportunity to buy as it may continue to trend down.

SeekingAlpha:  Class 8 truck orders fall in November

Liquidity:

The company has a market cap of $3.0b with 98.9m shares outstanding and a float of 98.5m shares. Trading volume was 663,778 shares and has experienced an average volume of 498,272 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.

Earnings:

The last annual reported EPS for Navistar International Corporation was 0.23 which ended on 31st of October 2017, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 130.57. Based on 7 analyst estimates, the consensus EPS for the next quarter is 0.93. The trailing twelve month EPS is 2.93, which comes to a trailing twelve month PE of 10.25.

Below was the last reported quarterly earnings per share:
07-31-2018:  1.19
04-30-2018:  0.55
01-31-2018:  -0.24
10-31-2017:  1.43



Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 27.38, which means it might overvalued by -9.66%

Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 118.00% of institutional ownership. Short-interest was 2,885,529, which was 2.92% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio was 5.73. This stock has some short interest, but it might be normal and no need to worry if long the position.

I calculated the beta to be 2.35

PR Newswire:  Secoo Announced Unaudited 2018 Q3 Financial Report, GMV Increased 57.4%

Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on assets is 4.44%, profit margin is 2.48%, price-to-sales is 0.46 and price-to-book is 3.29.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 1  : Growth Expectations Result
 1  : Financial Safety Result
 3  : Past Performance Result
 3  : Valuation Result
 0  : Dividend Safety Result
 2  : Overall Result

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Jake McWilliams
I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).

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