The growth of the EPS is critical in understanding the current valuation of St. Joe Company. It is usually expressed as a percentage and is then referred to as the EPS growth rate, which at this time is hard to estimate, but revenue growth has been 33.40 % over the last twelve months. The long-term trend in EPS shows how well the management of St. Joe Company is adding value for shareholders.



St. Joe Company is part of the real estate sector and real estate services industry. The company CEO is Jorge Luis Gonzalez. The St. Joe Co is a real estate company. It operates residential real estate and commercial real estate properties and resorts.

Previous Intraday Performance:

The JOE shares had a previous change of -0.46% which opened at 15.04 and closed at 15.00. It moved to an intraday high of 15.17 and a low of 14.89.

SeekingAlpha:  Tracking Bruce Berkowitz’s Fairholme Portfolio – Q3 2018 Update

Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, JOE shares returned -2.47% and in the past 30 trading days it returned -1.19%. Over three months, it changed -14.29%. In one year it has changed -21.26% and within that year its 52-week high was 20.00 and its 52-week low was 14.28. JOE stock is 5.04% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 17.36 and a 50 day moving average of 15.50. Right now, JOE stock is trading -13.61% below its 200 day moving average and may not be a great opportunity to buy as it may continue to trend down.

SeekingAlpha:  Tracking Bruce Berkowitz’s Fairholme Portfolio – Q3 2018 Update

Liquidity:

The company has a market cap of $910.1m with 60.7m shares outstanding and a float of 59.2m shares. Trading volume was 451,830 shares and has experienced an average volume of 263,864 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.

Earnings:

The last annual reported EPS for St. Joe Company was 0.84 which ended on 31st of December 2017, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 17.86. Based on 1 analyst estimate, the estimated EPS for the next quarter is 0.05. The trailing twelve month EPS is 0.14, which comes to a trailing twelve month PE of 107.14.

Below was the last reported quarterly earnings per share:
09-30-2018:  0.09
06-30-2018:  0.12
03-31-2018:  0.01
12-31-2017:  -0.08



Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 1.26, which means it might overvalued by -1,091.90%

Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 112.80% of institutional ownership. Short-interest was 6,642,657, which was 10.95% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio was 27.09. This stock has a moderate level of short interest, but may still be a buying opportunity depending on other indicators.

I calculated the beta to be 0.87

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Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is 13.34%, return on assets is 7.97%, profit margin is 60.40%, price-to-sales is 7.92 and price-to-book is 1.76.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 0  : Growth Expectations Result
 3  : Financial Safety Result
 4  : Past Performance Result
 2  : Valuation Result
 0  : Dividend Safety Result
 2  : Overall Result

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Jake McWilliams
I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).

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