The growth of the EPS is critical in understanding the current valuation of Air Transport Services Group Inc. It is usually expressed as a percentage and is then referred to as the EPS growth rate, which at this time is hard to estimate, but revenue growth has been -8.60 % over the last twelve months. EPS growth is a vital measure of execution of the strategy for Air Transport Services Group Inc since it indicates how well the business is allocating resources to benefit shareholders.



Air Transport Services Group Inc is part of the industrials sector and is in the transportation and logistics industry. The company CEO is Joseph C. Hete. Air Transport Services Group Inc, through its subsidiaries, provides aircraft leasing, airline operations, aircraft maintenance and other support services to the air cargo transportation and package delivery industries.

Previous Intraday Performance:

The ATSG shares had a previous change of 0.82% which opened at 18.31 and closed at 18.53. It moved to an intraday high of 18.83 and a low of 18.26.

Business Wire:  ATSG Delivers Boeing 767 Freighter to SkyTaxi of Poland

Historical Performance:

Over the last five trading days, ATSG shares returned -1.23% and in the past 30 trading days it returned -8.63%. Over three months, it changed -11.89%. In one year it has changed -21.32% and within that year its 52-week high was 27.67 and its 52-week low was 17.67. ATSG stock is 4.87% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations result in a 200 day moving average of 21.88 and a 50 day moving average of 20.19. Right now, ATSG stock is trading -15.30% below its 200 day moving average and may not be a great opportunity to buy as it may continue to trend down.

Business Wire:  ATSG Delivers Boeing 767 Freighter to SkyTaxi of Poland

Liquidity:

The company has a market cap of $1.1b with 59.1m shares outstanding and a float of 55.8m shares. Trading volume was 249,744 shares and has experienced an average volume of 373,245 shares. Our calculation, using the current average volume and close price, leads me to believe that the liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.

Earnings:

The last annual reported EPS for Air Transport Services Group Inc was 0.27 which ended on 31st of December 2017, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 68.63. Based on 4 analyst estimates, the consensus EPS for the next quarter is 0.32. The trailing twelve month EPS is 1.24, which comes to a trailing twelve month PE of 14.94.

Below was the last reported quarterly earnings per share:
09-30-2018:  0.31
06-30-2018:  0.28
03-31-2018:  0.35
12-31-2017:  0.30

Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 32.35, which means it might be undervalued and has a margin of safety of 42.72%



Indicators Also to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 141.60% of institutional ownership. Short-interest was 0, which was 0.00% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio was 0.00.

I calculated the beta to be 1.82

SeekingAlpha:  Tracking Wallace Weitz’s Weitz Investment Management Portfolio – Q3 2018 Update

Fundamental Numbers:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is 44.40%, return on assets is 11.16%, profit margin is 18.25%, price-to-sales is 1.16 and price-to-book is 2.33.

Company Score Card:

Results are out of six:
 3  : Growth Expectations Result
 4  : Financial Safety Result
 4  : Past Performance Result
 5  : Valuation Result
 0  : Dividend Safety Result
 4  : Overall Result

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Jake McWilliams
I am an independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked both for the sell side (brokerage) and the buy side (fund administration). I have been trading professionally for about 20 years. I trade stocks and forex and I play both long and short positions in underlying asset or through options. I have experience with discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader and Quantshare).

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